Are we at War Again?
Creatix / June 22, 2025
Short answer: no. Practical answer: maybe. Scary answer: yes. Super scary answer: in WWIII
🕊️ 1. Iran Strikes. No formal “war” declaration
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Congress has never voted to declare war on Iran. Under the U.S. Constitution, only Congress holds that power. While Presidents have frequently ordered military strikes under the War Powers framework, there is no official state of war between the U.S. and Iran.
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Current U.S. leaders—including Vice President Vance—have explicitly stated that recent attacks on Iranian facilities do not amount to war and were limited to specific targets tied to nuclear capabilities (thedailybeast.com).
⚔️ 2. What is happening
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On June 22, 2025, the U.S. launched Operation Midnight Hammer, striking three Iranian nuclear sites—Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan—using B‑2 bombers with bunker‑busting bombs and Tomahawk missiles (apnews.com).
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These strikes were carried out in support of Israel’s campaign against Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, marking a direct U.S. intervention in that broader conflict (apnews.com).
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U.S. officials describe it as a targeted action to degrade nuclear threats, not a campaign of regime change .
🔥 3. Is this “war”?
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Technically: No because there is no formal war declaration from Congress authorizing and funding a war against Iran.
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Practically: We bombarded the heck out of facilities on Iranian soil. Any debate club kid can argue the strikes were acts of war.
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This resembles prior selective military operations (e.g., strikes in Syria/Iraq in 2024) where kinetic force was used without formal war declarations (thedailybeast.com).
🌍 4. Global & regional fallout
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International condemnation: The UN Secretary-General and many nations have warned that this escalation risks broader regional instability .
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Iran’s stance: Tehran has condemned the strikes as violations of sovereignty and vowed to retaliate. If Iran targets U.S. bases, ships, or citizens, we may find ourselves back in war very soon. (washingtonpost.com).
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Proxy wars: Allies of Iran, like the Houthis and Hamas, have pledged support and may retaliate (cbsnews.com). If terrorism reaches the U.S., we will find ourselves deep in another costly war in the Middle East.
🧭 5. Bottom line
| Aspect | Currently in play |
|---|---|
| Legal status | No formal U.S. war with Iran (no Congress declaration) |
| Military actions | Yes – strikes on nuclear facilities |
| Scope | Tactical, with a goal of nuclear disruption—not total war |
| Risk level | High – escalation possible, but not a full-scale war (yet) |
✅ Conclusion
The United States is not formally at war with Iran yet. We launched significant military strikes on Iranian territory. These actions fall under a gray area—a targeted military operation, not a constitutionally declared war. Iranian threats of retaliation, concerns over broader spillover in the region, proxy attacks, and terrorism may put us back in the business of war in the Middle East. Open your wallet, hug your boys. Salute our troops.
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Is It Up to China to Start World War III? CRINKRs vs. TRUMPERS?
As tensions flare across multiple global fault lines—from Ukraine to the Middle East to the South China Sea—the potential for a major global conflict feels more real today than in decades. And now, with the world watching anxiously, one pivotal decision could determine whether the planet plunges into a new world war: Will China finally invade Taiwan?
If Xi Jinping makes the fateful choice to invade the Taiwan, maybe that will be the tipping point for World War III (WWIII). On one side may be China, Russia, Iran, North Korea (CRINK) against a coalition led by King Trump.
We doubt that Xi and China will attack Taiwan now. China seems to be doing well by avoiding a hawkish stance allowing other nations to go further into debt and conflict. Yet it's possibility worth preparing for. It’s part of a rapidly evolving geopolitical reality.
Why Taiwan Is the Tripwire
Taiwan isn't just a political flashpoint—it’s a strategic and economic keystone. It's the heart of the global semiconductor industry, and it's also a symbol of democratic defiance in China's backyard. For decades, the United States and its allies have signaled that a Chinese assault on Taiwan would be intolerable. Under Biden, the “strategic ambiguity” of the U.S. defense posture thinned, with increasing clarity that America would intervene militarily. With Trump, the situation is more fluid and it could very well be that he does not intervene.
If China invades Taiwan and King Trump is manipulated into war:
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The U.S. Navy and Air Force would likely engage directly.
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Japan and Australia, both treaty allies, could be drawn in.
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The global economy would be rocked, especially tech and trade routes.
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Cyberattacks, satellite warfare, and economic retaliation would escalate.
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NATO may feel compelled to act, especially if Putin uses the opportunity to advance west.
This isn’t just theory. War simulations show devastating consequences: tens of thousands of casualties, a collapse in global trade, and the real risk of nuclear brinkmanship.
The CRINK Authoritarian Alliance?
The CRINK—China, Russia, Iran, North Korea—may not operate as a formal alliance like NATO, but they are aligned in both rhetoric and strategy:
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Russia is already at war in Ukraine and has growing military ties with China.
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Iran has armed proxies across the Middle East and is antagonistic toward Israel and the West. Israel, backed by Trump, is actively engaged in a war-like conflict in Iran.
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North Korea, although quiet this summer, is always expanding its missile arsenal and openly threatening South Korea, Japan, and U.S. bases.
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China, now a superpower, has been waiting for an opportunity to dethrone the USA.
A Chinese invasion of Taiwan could serve as a “green light” for this bloc to expand conflict elsewhere. Once we see simultaneous wars on three continents it will be hard to argue that we are not in WWIII.
The Trumpers
On the other side of the CRINK would be a Trump-led alliance:
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The United States, still the world's dominant superpower.
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NATO, which may need to respond to a Russian attack beyond Ukraine into Western Europe.
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Japan and Australia, capable militaries with much to lose if China takes over the Pacific.
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Israel, in full war mode against Iran and others in the Middle East.
Xi's Choice
Despite its internal problems—economic stagnation and demographic decline —China has not renounced using force to reunite with Taiwan and has not relinquish its ambition to lead the world. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) will decide when the time is right to place a bid for world domination. They weigh the cost and the risk against the rewards.
As the United States of Trump gets in Israel's war against Iran, it is up to China to decide whether this is the time to take back Taiwan. If China chooses war now, the conflict will probably not stop at Taiwan, but would spread until a new world order has been established. Regardless of which side wins, if any, authoritarianism seems likely to prevail in the long run.
Conclusion: The Crossroads of History
We are living in a time of high stakes and fragile peace. Taiwan is no longer just a flashpoint; it is the fulcrum on which the future may pivot. If China makes the move for it, Trump's world may tumble into a war that spans continents, involves nuclear powers, and changes the course of civilization. It would most likely end in some sort of stalemate that kills democracy for a while.
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