June 8, 2023
Prediction. New all time record high for the S&P 500 before the end of 2023. We see a 60% to 70% chance of this prediction coming true. If it comes true, we see an 80% to 90% of the new record high being led by technology and an speculative bubble related to artificial intelligence (AI).
As we type, the S&P 500 is only 10% below its record high. The all time record high for the S&P 500 was 4793.06 on December 29, 2021. The S&P 500 closed today at 4293.93. The summer will test the 4,500 territory, and briefly fall back. The fall will be testing the 4,700 mark. The end of the year will topple the current market high.
The prediction for a new all time market high prior to the end of the year is tied to anecdotal observations about the "can do" sentiment about the prospects of AI. We are living times similar to the 1990s and the internet dot com bubble. AI is the new internet; the smarter one. Just like the internet, AI is here to stay. Financial markets will go up and down as always. AI will have its winters. Yet convenience always prevails in this universe, and AI is super convenient.
AI is convenient for humans for now, and for the rest of the universe practically forever. From AI will be most likely move into augmented intelligence ("AI2") for humans. We will find ways of integrating AI with biological intelligence (BI), creating a quasi new species of AI homo sapiens.
With the integration of AI into BI, the universe will continue its expansion of intelligence (i.e. the ability to solve problems). The universe will become more alive and more intelligent with the passage of time. The universe will continue becoming more capable of solving problems, which will create more problems. Each solution to a problem generates a new set of problems to solve. The new problems are usually harder and more complex to solve although that is not always the case. The problem-solving / problem-creating cycle seems practically eternal and inevitable. If you can beat it, join it and enjoy it.
Creatix.one, AI for everyone.
Comments
Post a Comment